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Thursday, January 31, 2008

Clay Rating System determines top 10 women since 2003

I plugged the women's basketball statistics from the last 5 years (including this season as of 1/31/08) into my player rating formula in order to determine the best 10 single season performances. Only ladies who played significant minutes are included. Enjoy.

1. Danielle Warntz (2003-04) 44.3
2. Rachel Weidensaul (2007-08) 44.0
3. Amanda Zinobile (2003-04) 40.3
4. Melissa McQuade (2007-08) 37.7
5. Lara Dellegrotti (2005-06) 36.6
6. Monique Boykins (2005-06) 34.8
7. Mercedes Van Wagner (2004-05) 34.8
8. Trish Dudeck (2005-06) 34.2
9. Trish McElmoyle (2005-06) 33.7
10. Jessica Brady (2004-05) 33.5

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

How are these players rated? Where did you get the formula?

Mike Clay said...

It's my own formula. I just plug in the players stats and it gives me the result. It's very similar to most formulas used by best selling writers who create formulas for the NBA players. I'm still working to perfect it.

Anonymous said...

which stats go in? Points, i'm sure, rebounds, assists,blocks steals? Trying to figure out how one or two got on this list. Besides 3 pointers I don't see alot of assists, points, etc.? Can't figure out why they would be in top 10 best, and Jess Brady the 10th place??? How is this figured?

Mike Clay said...

It's actually an extremely complicated formula that includes most obvious stat categories. You are rewarded on a production per minute basis for all statistical aspects of the game. You can refer to John Hollinger's PER for an idea of what I do. My system is not perfect, but as mentioned in the original post, I'm still working on it.
Also, are you saying Jessica should be or should not be on the list? I cannot determine your tone. Who else are you concerned about?

Anonymous said...

I was surprised she was only 10th. She seemed to have produced more than some of the others higher on the list. McEmoyle only played one season and i don't recall her having high stats, only for a few games and Lara was hurt last season and her stats were not that great??? Thats what seems questionable to me.

Mike Clay said...

What you are failing to recognize is that this is based on production on a PER MINUTE basis. This means that a Player A, who scored 50 points is 100 minutes of action, will not be rewarded as much as Player B, who scores 30 points in 50 minutes of action. A boxscore can be deceiving because Player A will appear to be the better scorer since they scored more total points. This goes for assists, rebounds, turnovers, you name it.

My formula, as mentioned repeatedly, is not perfect, but it does resemble formulas used by top-of-the-line sports statisticians.

As for the players named, keep in mind this refers to individual seasons, not careers as a whole. This is why Trish McElmoyle's outstanding freshman season shows up. Let's not forget: she started and played very well as a freshman, as did Dellegrotti. Notice that they both refer to the 2005-06 season, not last season as you incorrectly pointed out.
As for Jessica, her senior season came in 17th on the list (at the time I originally printed this). The year she finished in the top 10, she was a freshman (funny how much better freshman seem to play, huh?). Let's not forget: As good as Jess was, she turned the ball over - 101 times in her 2004-05 season. Those kind of things will hurt your score.

I'm still working to perfect the system and I should have a new list (including the full 2007-08 stats) available following the season.